All signs point to this spending as a permanent structural change, rather than mere cyclical adjustments, as the policy scaffolding hardens around the spending. For example, the European Defence Industrial Strategy has set a policy through 2035, intended to strengthen member states’ defense preparation, while instruments such as the Act in Support of Ammunition Production are intended to increase the continent’s physical defense capacity.
EU member states’ defense expenditure
Total defense expediture vs (% share of EU GDP)
Source: European Defense Agency; McKinsey
Revenue of all operating companies
Revenue in €billion vs (% change)
Sources: Data represents the combined revenue of all publicly listed A&D companies across NA and Europe from Capital IQ — 58 companies in total: 31 in NA and 27 in Europe. From this data we selected a subset of major companies and layered in disruptors to arrive at the 50 A&D companies used in the leadership analysis.
Incumbents and disruptors are racing to meet demand
The European A&D sector absorbing this increase, however, is not necessarily structurally ready for it. The market is
small and fragmented, led by a handful of large primes followed by a long tail of mid- and small-cap companies.
Two distinct populations are racing to fill in the void. On one hand are the sector’s incumbents, with order books at
record levels and hiring on the rise. Alongside them is a population that barely existed five years ago: venture-
and private-capital-backed defense-technology disruptors. Already quite visible in the United States — where
challengers such as Anduril, Shield AI and Saronic have raised billions at soaring valuations and SpaceX recently
completed the largest IPO in history — Europe-based disruptors are beginning their rise as well, as companies like
Helsing, ICEYE, TEKEVER, Quantum Systems, STARK, ARX Robotics and Isar Aerospace are raising hundreds of millions of
euros and holding their own against the primes in procurement conversations. While these disruptors are relatively
small compared to the primes, they are no longer a hypothetical threat.
A&D boards are looking externally for their CEO… but not for the level below
The upshot: An aerospace and defense (A&D) sector built for stability is meeting a decade built for growth. But what
does this mean for leadership? How can organizations across the A&D spectrum find the right people to lead them to
success in this dynamic environment?
To answer these questions, we recently analyzed leadership at 50 top A&D companies, covering 180 leaders (50 CEOs and
130 P&L leaders one level below). The data points to some interesting trends.
On one hand, despite a reputation for “growing their own leaders,” A&D companies in general are more willing than
other sectors to look outside their companies for CEOs. Almost half (46%) of the CEOs we looked at were hired
externally.
Of those external CEOs, about half came from outside of A&D, from sectors such as energy, telecom, automotive and big
tech. The common denominator? A background of commercial best practices coupled with agility and experience at a
fast pace, useful for a defense sector that prizes continuity. The trend applies across the supplier and services
tier (where external operators have been brought in to reset underperforming or strategically drifting businesses),
and even in non-urgent, non-crisis situations where there’s less of a rush to find the next leader.
A&D CEO origin and background
A layer below the CEO, however, is a different story. Of the non-CEO P&L leaders we looked at, 80% were promoted
internally into their current role. Most of them are long tenured, first joining their companies two decades or more
prior; 75% have spent the bulk of their careers inside A&D.
The pairing of an externally hired CEO with an internally sourced bench is a common setup at American primes, and
there are sound reasons why this could be the case. For example, experienced insiders can help a newly hired
external CEO navigate complex, security cleared and program-driven organizations.
On the relatively rare occasions when an external hire enters at the CEO-minus-1 level, it is almost exclusively from
adjacent industrial sectors — automotive, appliances and engineering. In the U.S. in particular, a push for more
U.S.-based industrial capabilities has led some top companies to seek talent from other leading manufacturing
organizations.
A LACK OF OPENNESS AT THE NEXT LEVEL OF THE ORGANIZATION
Comparing 50 CEO profiles with 130 CEO-minus-1 profiles
Source: Spencer Stuart data, June 2026. Founder-led companies are excluded at CEO level
This sector’s disruptors offer an interesting perspective on how outside talent can bring much-needed technology
experience to fill their leadership ranks. Among disruptors, about half of P&L leaders have an A&D background, about
one-third are software-industry natives (more than four times the share of incumbents) and most of the remainder
come from government and diplomacy backgrounds, not surprising as companies seek to open doors with sovereign
customers.
Software natives make up roughly one-third of disruptor P&L leaders
Background of P&L leaders, incumbent companies vs. distruptor companies
Source: Spencer Stuart data, June 2026. Founder-led companies are excluded at CEO level
Case studies in leadership succession
A European prime looks outside for CEO-1 hires
For one Europe-based prime, the group CEO is a company insider, yet all divisional leaders are external hires. The
reasoning behind this is up for interpretation; it could be a deliberate decision to use divisional leadership to
inject fresh ideas. Or it could be simple expediency: When internal contenders lose the race for the top job, they
often leave, and the resulting vacancies simply have to be filled from outside.
Some primes lose P&L leaders to rivals
For several primes, divisional leaders who were brought in from the outside have themselves been recruited away again
into CEO roles elsewhere in the sector. An internal successor was tapped to fill the vacancy each time. Far from a
sign of failure, this is a mark of value: The divisional bench is strong enough to have leaders who could be CEOs.
Is the discrepancy deliberate… or a lag?
There are two ways to view the discrepancy between the CEO level and the one below.
In the generous reading, it’s an emerging talent architecture, not an oversight. Companies have many
reasons to maintain strong internal operating benches. Continuity is particularly important for program delivery,
and features like security clearances, customer intimacy and engineering memory take a decade to build. At the same
time, they inject external capabilities selectively at the top, particularly where strategic reinvention is needed.
In this scenario, an externally recruited CEO steering a bench of long-time company insiders isn’t an anomaly, but
rather the model.
The more skeptical reading is that companies’ internal pipelines simply aren’t able to meet the
moment. One possible reason is simple numbers: More leaders are needed to meet today’s rapid growth than are
available. Internal leadership development is a years-long process, even in best-case scenarios, and even pipelines
that are 80% internally developed feel thin; what makes for a strong bench also makes one hard to expand at speed.
Long-time insiders may also lack the exposure to areas such software, autonomy and cross-sector commercial models
that will prove crucial in the coming years.
Thus, the sector faces some blunt leadership questions. Where will it find its next generation of top leaders? And
how do they do it fast enough and in the numbers they currently need?
Learning from the American experience
The answer may come from the United States, which is a decade ahead of Europe into this transformation. Its
experience shows where the market can lead, with not only SpaceX and Palantir, now public and at scale, but a
fast-following cohort of venture-backed defense-technology companies like Anduril, Shield AI and Saronic. Although
the U.S. defense sector is at a much greater scale than Europe, its trajectory offers three leadership observations
for Europe.
Talent is flowing from primes to disruptors — not the reverse
SpaceX's operating model was built by an aerospace-establishment president working alongside a founder; meanwhile, a
Boeing veteran is running Blue Origin's New Glenn program. The U.S. primes served, in effect, as talent academies
for future competitors. In Europe, the disruptors are hiring their first senior operators today — and primes'
benches are the natural source.
Incumbents can’t simply replicate the founder model
An incumbent cannot replicate disruptors’ typical leadership model — a founder paired with a professional operator —
simply by finding a new CEO. That is a structural choice made at founding. But incumbents can still innovate at
speed by bringing fresh capabilities at the CEO-minus-1 level, where they can be absorbed without destabilizing the
whole.
The side door may work better than the front door
The most durable external entries into prime P&L leadership in our sample did not arrive directly into the seat.
Rather, they entered the company years earlier from other relevant backgrounds and rose internally. Hiring people
with adjacent experience earlier in their career paths is a pattern that survives contact with a strong operating
culture.
The questions boards should be asking
- Is your bench of P&L leaders one level below CEO strong enough for the market you are anticipating for the
future?
- If your next CEO is promoted from inside the company, how will that impact your company’s long-term trajectory?
- Where will the disruptors' operators come from — and is your answer to that question a defensive one?
- Which roles can you realistically grow internally over time? Which require external hires earlier in the career?
side door to open now — and does the gap between an internally-grown bench and externally-hired top team point
to a succession-planning task you have not yet named, perhaps even the case for a chief operating officer to
bridge it?
• • •
Conclusion
Europe is rebuilding its defense-industrial base on a scale not seen since the 1950s. The leadership
system running it has been remarkably stable across the same decades. Whether that stability is an asset or a
constraint is, we suspect, the conversation the sector should be having — at Farnborough and beyond.
Methodology
Spencer Stuart analyzed the leadership at 50 top aerospace and defense companies across Europe and North America. The companies were selected for size and market relevance. The group includes incumbent primes, established suppliers, government-technology services and venture-backed disruptors. The analysis included each CEO and up to four P&L leaders one level below (including divisional/regional presidents, but excluding functional leaders). The final list of leaders was classified by route into role and their sector of origin (A&D-experienced; adjacent industrial; adjacent technology/software; adjacent government/military; adjacent services). The data is based on company disclosures, regulatory filings and press releases as of June 2026.